Market participants: In 2025, the steel industry may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. At the 2025 China steel market prospect and the annual meeting of "My Steel", whether the profit space of steel enterprises can be enlarged in 2025, whether the supply-side capacity will be withdrawn in an orderly manner, and what factors should be relied on for the long-term development of enterprises have become the minds of many participants. The industry believes that the survival pressure of steel enterprises may be eased in 2025. The upstream supply of iron ore, coke and coking coal will reduce their prices, and the cost of steel enterprises will fall. The market may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. Market participants said that although steel prices are still expected to decline in 2025, the profit margin of steel enterprises may increase. (SSE)The number of registered warehouse receipts for steel futures reached a new high in recent five years. In 2024, the spot price of steel continued to hover near the production cost line, which made the development of steel enterprises face a staged dilemma. In order to stabilize daily operations, more and more iron and steel enterprises began to participate in the futures market, the most direct manifestation of which is the significant increase in the number of registered warehouse receipts for steel futures. In November this year, the registered volume of hot-rolled coil futures warehouse receipts in Shanghai Futures Exchange once reached 523,100 tons, a record high of nearly five years. Previously, the registered volume of rebar futures warehouse receipts reached the highest value of 210,100 tons in the past five years in September this year, and the registered volume of stainless steel futures warehouse receipts reached the highest value of 197,100 tons since listing in July this year. (SSE)Australia's S&P/ASX200 index opened up 17.50 points, or 0.21%, at 8371.1 points on Thursday, December 12th.
US stocks "Seven Sisters" | Tesla and Google A closed up more than 5%, both hitting record highs. On Wednesday (December 11), in "Magnificent 7", Tesla closed up 5.93%, refreshing the record high of closing to 424.77 US dollars; Google's parent company, Alphabet(GOOGL), closed up 5.52%, the best performance for two consecutive days since 2015-accumulated up by about 11%, refreshing the historical high of closing to 195.40 US dollars; NVIDIA rose 3.14%, Amazon rose 2.32%, Meta Platforms rose 2.16%, Microsoft rose 1.28%, and Apple closed down 0.52% from its all-time high. In addition, AMD closed up 1.89%, TSMC ADR rose 1.39%, Berkshire Hathaway B shares closed down 0.24%, and Lilly fell 0.44%."The number of accounts opened exceeds expectations" is a general evaluation of the pilot situation of personal pension in the industry. Starting with the announcement of the pilot list of 36 cities (regions) on November 25th, 2022, by the end of June 2023, in less than one year, the number of people opening individual pension accounts has reached 40.3 million, and by the end of June 2024, the number of people opening individual pension accounts in China has exceeded 60 million. (Securities Times)Guotai Junan: A shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. Recently, Guotai Junan's 2025 strategy meeting will be held in Shenzhen. The conference made an in-depth discussion and comprehensive outlook on the hot topics of market concern and the investment strategy in 2025. Fang Yi, chief strategist of Guotai Junan, said in an interview that the bottom of the A-share market has emerged, which is optimistic about the prospects of China stock market. The key driving force for the market to start comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference. After a long period of continuous adjustment, the pessimistic expectation and microstructure of A-shares are fully clarified, and the positive signal of decision-makers to steady economic growth and support the capital market is an important cornerstone for the upward revision of long-term expectations and the elevation of the bottom of the stock market. Looking forward to the A-share market in 2025, Fang Yi said that there is still room for the optimistic policy expectation at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, and A-shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. However, in the case of rising geopolitical conflict risks, the stock index may face a staged headwind. However, as the market stabilizes and revises the economic and policy expectations, the stock index is expected to strengthen again in the second half of 2025. (shanghai securities news)
The policy continued to catalyze the large consumption sector or welcome a new round of valuation to repair the market. On December 11, the A-share market shrank. The concept sector of big consumption has been concerned by the market, and the food, beverage and retail sectors are among the top gainers. Analysts believe that near the Spring Festival, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and the big consumer sector is expected to usher in a new round of valuation repair. An Yaze, chief analyst of the food and beverage industry of CITIC Jiantou Securities, said that the recent introduction of a series of incremental fiscal and monetary policies has released a clear policy signal to strive to achieve the goals and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year, focusing on boosting consumption and expanding effective domestic demand. The food and beverage industry is expected to usher in a turning point in the boom. (china securities journal)The situation in Syria has turned around? The airport in Damascus will be reopened after lifting the curfew. On the 11th local time, the Syrian "Sharm Liberation Organization" announced the lifting of the curfew in the capital Damascus since the 8th, and called on the Syrian people to return to work. On the same day, the person in charge of Damascus International Airport said that the airport will be reopened in "the next few days" and flights can be resumed quickly. (CCTV News)Make professional investment easier, explore the application of AI big model in the financial field, and actively embrace big model technology in the financial field. Since the beginning of this year, both financial data terminals and financial technology leaders have actively launched applications based on large models. Related applications are concentrated in high-frequency fields such as man-machine dialogue, intelligent investment and research, and intelligent investment and care, which makes the function of artificial intelligence in assisting investment gradually perfect. Many interviewees said that with the help of artificial intelligence technology, ordinary investors can realize professional-level analysis and decision-making process. This means that the "inclusive" era of professional investment will accelerate. (SSE)
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide